周五相对较平静地展开了行情走势，但已经为美元恢复走强进行了热身，一直维持到当天行情结束。美元出现看涨突破走势，向上突破了4小时的价格均衡云图压制，虽然与日内的均衡图有信号混合。观察价格运行动能有助于确定在潜在多时间框架内价格运行动能的解读。

在表现过于激动之前，我也注意到了早期在各货币对之间有些不一致的信号。欧系货币出现了相对美元的下行走势，但英镑兑美元和美元兑日元的走势，似乎提示行情展开较慢—两者有一些美元看跌背离的动能信号指示。因此要小心确认两组欧系货币对的预期展望—欧系货币对与英镑兑美元/美元兑日元—仅以防万一市场自己陷入困境。积极的因素是，美元指数进一步被推高的表现应可以设为一个基准趋势。

欧元兑日元情况略有些混乱。价格成功地从低位拉升但幅度不够大。小时图的动能没有完全提供看跌背离信号，但30分钟图里有出现。然而，基于对两个欧系货币对和英镑兑美元及美元兑日元的上述观察，这些情况往往意味着价格的下行走势倾向。

澳元目前也是处于特别不确定的状况。基本上价格运行符合预期—虽然下跌到0.7117的幅度略低于上周预期目标。但是，现在看涨看跌是一线之间…要仔细观察。

预祝拥有一个获利丰厚的交易周。

伊恩·科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

A relatively consistent outlook

Friday began relatively quietly but did warm up towards the end of the day with the Dollar regaining its strength. This has seen Dollar bullish breaks above the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds although there are mixed indications from the daily Clouds. Observing momentum will be very helpful in determining the potential for multiple time frame readings in momentum.

Before getting too enthusiastic, I do note that there appears to be some early dissention between the pairs. The Continental Europeans do appear to be set for losses against the Dollar but GBPUSD and USDJPY are hinting of a slower start – both having momentum indications that suggest some minor Dollar bearish divergences. It would therefore be prudent to confirm the outlooks in both groups – Continental Europeans versus GBPUSD / USDJPY – just in case the market has trapped itself. The positive factor is that the Dollar Index has pushed back higher again and that should set the underlying trend.

I am slightly mixed in EURJPY. It has managed to haul itself off from the floor but not by a significant margin. Hourly momentum hasn’t really proffered any bearish divergence but the 30-minute chart has. However, if my observations above in terms of the two Continental Europeans versus GBPUSD and USDJPY this would tend to suggest losses.

The Aussie is also in a particularly uncertain situation. It basically developed as expected – although the drop down to 0.7117 was a bit deeper than I normally seen for the outcome I suggested last week. However, there’s a fine line between bullish & bearish now… Watch that carefully.

Have a profitable week

Ian Copsey